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cate

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A research-grade, 6-week masterclass in Causal Inference and Causal ML from first principles. Rebuilds d-separation oracles, propensity score IRLS engines, doubly-robust AIPW estimators, Cross-Fitting Double Machine Learning (DML), and honest causal forests from scratch in pure NumPy. Fully verified against causal truth

  • Updated May 30, 2026
  • Jupyter Notebook

Does swapping EconML's auto first stage for CatBoost improve CATE in Double Machine Learning? Same CausalForestDML second stage across 13 datasets, paired Wilcoxon. Auto wins PEHE on 7 of 13; tuned CatBoost wins on smooth DGPs.

  • Updated Jul 22, 2026
  • Python

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