A framework for building a AI Forecasting Bot for Metaculus. Additionally AI Forecasting tools to help humans forecast the future.
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Updated
Sep 16, 2026 - Python
A framework for building a AI Forecasting Bot for Metaculus. Additionally AI Forecasting tools to help humans forecast the future.
Stdlib-only forecasting bot for the Metaculus AI Benchmark tournaments, plus the non-obvious API facts that cost a day to find
unofficial Discord bot for Metaculus https://www.metaculus.com/
Code to calculate the distribution of the possible number of detectable alien civilizations in our Galaxy using the Drake equation and Metaculus predictions.
The Oracle's Fingerprint: correlated AI forecasting errors and the limits of bias transmission — three studies on whether the wisdom of crowds survives consultation of GPT-4o, Claude, and Gemini
Chrome extension: hides Polymarket, Kalshi and Metaculus probabilities until you write down your own forecast; logs to Fatebook
Thirteen research-attributed forecasting skills for Claude — Brier scoring, calibration decomposition, logit pooling, Bayesian updating, reference classes, conditional trees. Every technique names its research and states its limits.
Build APIs, datasets, tools, and research for prediction markets, made for developers and AI agents
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